Epidemiology & Technology

Estimating Indian zonal populations in 2024 using two data sources

The MOHFW projections

  • Give total population for each state and country by sex (male/female) for each year till 2036 as well as percentage urban by each sex
  • Give age-grouped and sex data for select states, excluding Goa, UTs. They combine NE states in one group (except Assam)
  • The Age groups may not be of use to us directly and we may wish to use our own age groups

The UN Population projections :

  • Give single age and sex wise population for entire country for each year till 2050
  • Lack rural-urban and state wise data

My age groups of intertest were:

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
>75
Age groups of Interest
In order to arrive at Administrative zone wise estimate populations for 2024, for my age grousp of interest, I recently used the following methodology:

The Estimated population in each zone in each age-sex group of interest was estimated finally in Table 7

Table 1: Estimated sex- wise total population of each state and UT  in 2024: MOHFW
stateyeartx1000_pregionsex
ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS2024191East2
ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS2024213East1
ANDHRA PRADESH202426678South2
ANDHRA PRADESH202426662South1
ARUNACHAL PRADESH2024766North-East2
ARUNACHAL PRADESH2024810North-East1
ASSAM202417714North-East2
ASSAM202418334North-East1
BIHAR202461801East2
BIHAR202466792East1
CHANDIGARH2024573North2
CHANDIGARH2024670North1
CHHATISGARH202415215Central2
CHHATTISGARH202415308Central1
DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI2024290West2
DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI2024455West1
DAMAN & DIU2024161West2
DAMAN& DIU2024449West1
GOA2024786West2
GOA2024797West1
GUJARAT202434369West2
GUJARAT202437998West1
HARYANA202414406North2
HARYANA202416167North1
HIMACHAL PRADESH20243700North2
HIMACHAL PRADESH20243805North1
India2024681251India2
India2024719493India1
JAMMU & KASHMIR20246535North2
JAMMU & KASHMIR20247166North1
JHARKHAND202419523East2
JHARKHAND202420441East1
KARNATAKA202433558South2
KARNATAKA202434557South1
KERALA202418666South2
KERALA202417254South1
LADAKH2024133North2
LADAKH2024169North1
LAKSHADWEEP202434South2
LAKSHADWEEP202435South1
MADHYA PRADESH202442472Central2
MADHYA PRADESH202445138Central1
MAHARASHTRA202461103West2
MAHARASHTRA202466256West1
MANIPUR20241621North-East2
MANIPUR20241632North-East1
MEGHALAYA20241687North-East2
MEGHALAYA20241692North-East1
MIZORAM2024620North-East2
MIZORAM2024630North-East1
NAGALAND20241091North-East2
NAGALAND20241162North-East1
NCT OF DELHI202410186North2
NCT OF DELHI202411567North1
ODISHA202423150East2
ODISHA202423416East1
PUDUCHERRY2024884South2
PUDUCHERRY2024799South1
PUNJAB202414695North2
PUNJAB202416231North1
RAJASTHAN202439907North2
RAJASTHAN202441990North1
SIKKIM2024329North-East2
SIKKIM2024366North-East1
TAMIL NADU202438630South2
TAMIL NADU202438458South1
TELANGANA202419030South2
TELANGANA202419241South1
TRIPURA20242058North-East2
TRIPURA20242126North-East1
UTTAR PRADESH2024114144Central2
UTTAR PRADESH2024123934Central1
UTTARAKHAND20245728Central2
UTTARAKHAND20246027Central1
WEST BENGAL202448817East2
WEST BENGAL202450746East1
Table 2:  Estimated Zone wise sex-specific total population and distribution in 2024
regionsexzonal2024SexPopzonal2024SexPercent
North-East1267520003.718174
Central119040700026.46405
East116160800022.46137
South113700600019.04202
West110595500014.72634
North19776500013.58804
West29670900014.1958
Central217755900026.06367
South213748000020.18052
North29013500013.23081
North-East2258860003.799774
East215348200022.52943
Table 3: Zonal distribution of India’s male and female population in 2024
sexzonal2024SexPercent1zonal2024SexPercent2zonal2024SexPercent3zonal2024SexPercent4zonal2024SexPercent5zonal2024SexPercent6
113.5880414.7263426.4640519.0420222.461373.718174
213.2308114.195826.0636720.1805222.529433.799774
Table 4 : 2024 Indian Single year Male Female Population Estimates –  from UNPP
ageyeartptftm
02024227250201097506711749954
12024226495881092091011728678
22024226191761089212011727055
32024226659721090151811764452
42024229983761104800611950370
52024234828121126786212214949
62024235873681130503012282338
72024238112541139865412412600
82024240729061151144312561463
92024239269421143285812494084
102024242593241158770212671622
112024248382641185740212980862
122024250773561195793213119424
132024252059321200617013199762
142024253567301207463013282100
152024253715521208376613287787
162024252773961203905513238340
172024253501961207225713277940
182024255565461216540613391140
192024258208421228547013535372
202024260044061237279813631608
212024261157121243249813683214
222024261973261246867213728654
232024260335661237677213656794
242024256392821218433613454946
252024253110981202927013281828
262024250959461192879413167152
272024248911281183828013052848
282024246959381175216112943777
292024244759401166318312812756
302024242105061156144212649064
312024239766401147112312505517
322024237711501138921812381932
332024235086021128085012227752
342024232603761117799412082382
352024230140381106056411953474
362024226953281090253311792794
372024224151561077241311642744
382024220113161058461611426700
392024215097681034557611164192
402024210123321011008210902250
41202420449952984542910604522
42202419934566960218410332382
43202419425920936638810059532
4420241881192690884329723494
4520241816968287970549372627
4620241766177485664209095354
4720241728664083996448886996
4820241684616882039548642214
4920241640045880065388393920
5020241599956278292648170298
5120241550799276044157903577
5220241502548473812847644200
5320241453444471532207381224
5420241404900069261617122840
5520241363163267314566900176
5620241319300665249516668054
5720241271275662963486416409
5820241226176060815126180248
5920241186684458941025972742
6020241147352157074325766088
6120241104631055046825541628
6220241060533052957345309596
6320241015577950830165072763
642024969480648655584829247
652024924707546557964591279
662024882609244594984366594
672024838590842529044133004
682024791964240330203886622
692024744224738065823635664
702024693776035645383373221
712024641172233095723102151
722024588899430536462835348
732024538429828042182580080
742024489196525585262333439
752024422918222275462001636
762024364881619475881701228
772024330722117839481523274
782024297437216124881361883
792024265110314451901205912
802024235031112897911060520
81202420755781148254927324
82202418275981020452807146
8320241604592904909699683
8420241404564800348604216
8520241225016705748519268
8620241053766613082440684
872024884566518490366076
882024725874428018297856
892024587101347942239160
902024467672278352189320
912024364730217626147104
922024278844166514112331
93202420909412489184202
9420241537379189061847
9520241105956614644449
962024775404640631134
972024528873171821170
982024350602109413966
99202422542136048938
1002024333122041912893
Table 5: 2024 Indian Age-grouped Male Female Population Estimates –  from UNPP
sexageGrpSTDIndAgeSexPop2024
Male0-15199427500
Male16-30199505433
Male31-45168172294
Male46-60111144342
Male61-7557592272
Male>7512481585
Female0-15183221072
Female16-30181170394
Female31-45155794458
Female46-60107306699
Female61-7559474838
Female>7515644904
Table 6: 2024 Indian Age-group and sex wise estimates with zonal distributions
sexageGrpSTDIndAgeSex Pop2024zonal2024Sex Percent1zonal2024Sex Percent2zonal2024Sex Percent3zonal2024Sex Percent4zonal2024Sex Percent5zonal2024Sex Percent6
Male0-1519942750013.5880414.7263426.4640519.0420222.461373.718174
Male16-3019950543313.5880414.7263426.4640519.0420222.461373.718174
Male31-4516817229413.5880414.7263426.4640519.0420222.461373.718174
Male46-6011114434213.5880414.7263426.4640519.0420222.461373.718174
Male61-755759227213.5880414.7263426.4640519.0420222.461373.718174
Male>751248158513.5880414.7263426.4640519.0420222.461373.718174
Female0-1518322107213.2308114.195826.0636720.1805222.529433.799774
Female16-3018117039413.2308114.195826.0636720.1805222.529433.799774
Female31-4515579445813.2308114.195826.0636720.1805222.529433.799774
Female46-6010730669913.2308114.195826.0636720.1805222.529433.799774
Female61-755947483813.2308114.195826.0636720.1805222.529433.799774
Female>751564490413.2308114.195826.0636720.1805222.529433.799774

Final Output

Table 7: 2024 Indian Age-group and sex wise and zone wise populations

sexageGrpSTDzonal2024-SexPop1zonal2024-SexPop2zonal2024-SexPop3zonal2024-SexPop4zonal2024-SexPop5zonal2024-SexPop6
Male0-1527098288293683765277660037975024447941527415061
Male16-3027108880293798525279722437989864448116567417959
Male31-4522851320247656284450520432023404377738046252938
Male46-6015102338163674962941329621164128249645444132540
Male61-75782566184812351524124910966733129360152141381
Male>7516960031838081330313323767462803535464087
Female0-1524241624260096884775412836974968412786726961987
Female16-3023970304257185784721964836561128408166646884066
Female31-4520612864221162624060574831440132350996085919838
Female46-6014197542152330392796806021655052241755924077412
Female61-75786900184429261550132412002332133993442259910
Female>7520699472220919407763631572233524708594471
Table 7: 2024 Indian Age-group and sex wise and zone wise populations

Columns represent zones: – suffixes are 1 North 2 West 3 Central 4 South 5 East 6 “North-East”

Related Posts